Wednesday, November 4, 2009

2009 Breeder's Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf

A evenly matched field of 12 fillies is set to for this year's Breeder's Cup Juvenile Turf. It is not surprised to see the Group/graded stakes winner Lillie Langtry was made the morning line favorite in a relative weak field.


PP Horse Jockey Trainer ML
1 Potostina J. Velazquez Shuman 20-1
2 Elusive Galaxy Bejarano Cecil 12-1
3 Smart Seattle Rose Motion 8-1
4 Rose Catherine Castellano Pletcher 8-1
5 La Nez Smith Kruljac 20-1
6 Jungle Tale Bridgmohan Asmussen 15-1
7 House of Grace Luzzi McPeek 4-1
8 Lillie Langtry Murtagh O'Brien 3-1
9 Hatheer Gracia McLaughlin 10-1
10 Tapitsfly Albarado Romans 8-1
11 Junia Tepzia Fallon Schiergen 8-1
12 Lisa's Kitten Leparoux Marker 12-1


There isn't any standout in this years field and the horses I like are #7 House of Grace, #10 Tapitsfly, #8 Lillie Langtry and #6 Jungle Tale.


House of Grace is lightly raced and she is also unbeaten in 2 career starts. Her running style is prefect for this race as there will be a lot of speed up front. The post 7 will help her save ground in the early going and she will picking up the pieces at the stretch. She is 1 for 1 on turf and she won her other race on the synthetic surface after it got race off the turf. Assuming she can handle the turf course at Santa Anita, she will be very tough to beat.

Tapitsfly is 1 for 1 on turf and finished 2nd in her last race after it was taken off turf. Her last work on the 10/31 at 5f for 1:00 3/5 was very impressive. Her post should help her since most of the speed are inside of her. If she can get the lead at the top of the stretch, she will be hard to beat.

As mentioned earlier, Lillie Langtry is the ONLY group/graded stakes winner in the field. This will be her first try over 7f but this closer should have no problem handle the added distance. If I can close to the 3-1 ML, i will key her in my exacta and trifecta tickets.

For the longshot of the race, I like Woodbine based Jungle Tale. She ran greenly when 2nd in the Natalma, a more professional effort could land her in the top 3.

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